https://jeffstine.com/writing/ Essays and research by Jeff Stine on innovation systems, discovery, and consequential ideas. en-us https://projectaeon.substack.com/p/surface-areas-in-technoscience-part https://projectaeon.substack.com/p/surface-areas-in-technoscience-part Fri, 29 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT Project Aeon Why compressed timelines do more than accelerate discovery: they filter which kinds of science can be pursued at all. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-permanent-underclass-narrative https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-permanent-underclass-narrative Thu, 28 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon How the Ideaocracy mistakes gatekeeping for capability. https://projectaeon.substack.com/p/the-death-of-generative-wandering https://projectaeon.substack.com/p/the-death-of-generative-wandering Mon, 27 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT Project Aeon What the pressures of modernity have taken from open-ended technoscientific exploration. https://projectaeon.substack.com/p/project-aeon-in-practice https://projectaeon.substack.com/p/project-aeon-in-practice Tue, 14 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT Project Aeon Structure, strategy, and support for breakthrough scientific discovery. https://projectaeon.substack.com/p/introducing-project-aeon https://projectaeon.substack.com/p/introducing-project-aeon Mon, 06 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT Project Aeon An introduction to Project Aeon's model for long-term, open-ended funding for 1,000 researchers. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/on-generative-wandering https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/on-generative-wandering Mon, 12 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon A case for long-horizon, taste-guided exploration and the conditions that allow it to flourish. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/5-book-recommendations-2h-2025 https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/5-book-recommendations-2h-2025 Tue, 06 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon Five books from the second half of 2025. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/innovation-layers https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/innovation-layers Fri, 14 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon A framework for seeing innovation as a layered system and for finding the interfaces where promising ideas stall or gain momentum. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-dual-selection-theory-of-information https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-dual-selection-theory-of-information Mon, 15 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon Why truth isn't enough in the viral age. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/6-book-recommendations-1h-2025 https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/6-book-recommendations-1h-2025 Wed, 16 Jul 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon Six books from the first half of 2025. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/betting-on-chaos https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/betting-on-chaos Wed, 19 Mar 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon What financial derivatives reveal about our deepest motives. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-mathematics-of-luck https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-mathematics-of-luck Wed, 05 Mar 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon Why success might be becoming more random, not less. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/a-briefish-actionable-guide-on-how https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/a-briefish-actionable-guide-on-how Wed, 19 Feb 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon A stage-by-stage framework for writing better with AI. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-greatest-of-all-games https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-greatest-of-all-games Wed, 12 Feb 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon What is it all for? https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/on-abundance https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/on-abundance Wed, 29 Jan 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon Strong vs. weak-form abundance, and why the difference matters. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/nature-vs-machine https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/nature-vs-machine Fri, 17 Jan 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon A reconsideration of computational efficiency in the AI era. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/6-book-recommendations-2h-2024 https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/6-book-recommendations-2h-2024 Thu, 09 Jan 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon Six books from the second half of 2024. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/leaving-innovation-on-the-table-part-367 https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/leaving-innovation-on-the-table-part-367 Wed, 09 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon How innovation inadvertently gets trapped. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/leaving-innovation-on-the-table-part https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/leaving-innovation-on-the-table-part Thu, 26 Sep 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon Why it is unwise to assume we've reached the rate limit of innovation. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-objective-paradox https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-objective-paradox Wed, 14 Aug 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon Why seemingly bad but novel ideas are often discarded before their potential becomes visible. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-evolution-of-innovation-an-insight https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-evolution-of-innovation-an-insight Wed, 17 Jul 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon How constraints shape the novelty of innovation. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/5-book-recommendations-1h24 https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/5-book-recommendations-1h24 Wed, 26 Jun 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon Five books from the first half of 2024. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/non-obvious-what-is-a-utility https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/non-obvious-what-is-a-utility Wed, 19 Jun 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon The neglected task of assessing new technologies for utilitization. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/non-obvious-the-smoke-and-mirrors https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/non-obvious-the-smoke-and-mirrors Wed, 05 Jun 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon The broken link between GDP and common prosperity. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/rethinking-the-rural-paradox-why https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/rethinking-the-rural-paradox-why Fri, 17 May 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon Supra-urbanization can help us rewild the planet and secure our future. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/its-never-been-easier-to-start-a https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/its-never-been-easier-to-start-a Fri, 26 Apr 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon Do declining barriers to entry reduce the boldness of innovation? https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/venture-capital-veblen-goods-and https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/venture-capital-veblen-goods-and Tue, 16 Apr 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon When startup equity prices diverge from fundamentals, we all suffer the consequences. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/beyond-the-parts-the-benefit-and https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/beyond-the-parts-the-benefit-and Tue, 02 Apr 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon How a common property of systems could be our salvation or our downfall. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/a-new-taxonomy-for-venture-capital https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/a-new-taxonomy-for-venture-capital Tue, 26 Mar 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon A framework for getting more groundbreaking innovation from venture capital. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/are-humans-bad-at-work https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/are-humans-bad-at-work Tue, 19 Mar 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon If modern work has any relation to human worth, why are we naturally bad at it? https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/white-swans-lessons-from-poker-and https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/white-swans-lessons-from-poker-and Tue, 12 Mar 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon Incremental innovation might be a safe route to a predictable failure. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-decline-of-genetic-diversity https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-decline-of-genetic-diversity Tue, 27 Feb 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon What can economics and finance learn from the case of the banana? https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/exploring-the-development-dilemma https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/exploring-the-development-dilemma Tue, 20 Feb 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon Rethinking strategies for catalyzing economic prosperity. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/understanding-the-inequality-trap https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/understanding-the-inequality-trap Tue, 13 Feb 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon A theorem for understanding how outsized returns to inequality create a vicious cycle. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/can-ai-solve-the-local-knowledge https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/can-ai-solve-the-local-knowledge Tue, 30 Jan 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon If so, what would that mean for decentralized markets? https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-seductive-allure-of-one-dimensionalism https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-seductive-allure-of-one-dimensionalism Tue, 23 Jan 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon Why attempts to simplify complex issues so often fail. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-disappearance-of-natural-limits https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-disappearance-of-natural-limits Tue, 16 Jan 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon What happens when the gloves come off? https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/interview-building-a-business-to https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/interview-building-a-business-to Tue, 09 Jan 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon A conversation with Jordan Tepper about building a business to last more than a century. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/9-book-recommendations-2023 https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/9-book-recommendations-2023 Tue, 26 Dec 2023 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon Nine books from 2023. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/artificial-intelligence-and-the-better https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/artificial-intelligence-and-the-better Tue, 19 Dec 2023 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon A higher purpose for AI: making us the best versions of ourselves. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/imagining-the-future-of-insurance https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/imagining-the-future-of-insurance Tue, 12 Dec 2023 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon The need for a value-creation mindset shift in a misaligned industry. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/ignoring-compound-growth-or-why-investors https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/ignoring-compound-growth-or-why-investors Tue, 05 Dec 2023 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon How the upward march of inflation is changing the rules of the game for innovation. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-future-of-work-a-long-horizon-d31 https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-future-of-work-a-long-horizon-d31 Tue, 28 Nov 2023 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon What the future may hold. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-future-of-work-a-long-horizon https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-future-of-work-a-long-horizon Tue, 21 Nov 2023 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon The historical role and modes of work may not last much longer. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/are-returns-on-investments-too-high https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/are-returns-on-investments-too-high Tue, 14 Nov 2023 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon A thought experiment for reducing inequality. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-trouble-with-the-power-law-in https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-trouble-with-the-power-law-in Tue, 31 Oct 2023 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon A chicken-and-egg problem at the heart of venture capital. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-historical-insufficiency-of-financial https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/the-historical-insufficiency-of-financial Tue, 24 Oct 2023 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon Mistaking past limitations for scripture & the culture war around ESG. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/venture-capitals-reality-distortion https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/venture-capitals-reality-distortion Tue, 17 Oct 2023 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon How venture capital can become trapped by its own narratives. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/when-is-enough-enough https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/when-is-enough-enough Tue, 10 Oct 2023 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon The New American Dream, its global implications, and its unsustainability. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/an-interesting-question https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/an-interesting-question Tue, 03 Oct 2023 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon The hidden influence of short-termism. https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/a-world-awash-in-short-termism https://thelonghorizon.substack.com/p/a-world-awash-in-short-termism Tue, 26 Sep 2023 12:00:00 GMT The Long Horizon The many perils of a world awash in short-termism.